Revenue +32%
| Orders +21% | Average Order Value +9% | Return on Advertising Spend +31%
For a
multi-brand fashion eCommerce retailer selling primarily in Germany, paid media
was already operating at significant scale.
The business
was investing approximately €2.5 million per month across paid media,
with around €1.3 million running through Display & Video 360.
The existing
Display & Video 360 campaigns were already generating substantial sales.
Automated bidding was in place and Custom Bidding was not part of the
existing setup.
So this was not
a case of fixing campaigns that were fundamentally underperforming.
The opportunity
came from looking deeper at what the retailer was asking the bidding system to
optimize toward.
Customers were
generating meaningful signals throughout the purchase journey. They were
engaging with products, adding products to baskets, progressing through
checkout and eventually purchasing at significantly different transaction
values.
The existing
conversion-focused approach was not making full use of this combination of customer
progression signals and transaction value when determining the expected
value of individual impression opportunities.
That led to the
hypothesis behind the project:
Could the
retailer's own conversion and revenue signals help Display & Video 360 make
better bidding decisions and generate more sales revenue from the media
investment already available?
That became my
Custom Bidding use case.
Case Study
Snapshot
|
Area |
Business Context |
|
Business |
Multi-brand fashion eCommerce retailer |
|
Primary Market |
Germany |
|
Additional European Markets |
Austria, Netherlands and France |
|
Products |
Women's and men's fashion, footwear,
bags, accessories and premium/lifestyle brands |
|
Product Price Range |
Approx. €30 to €500+ |
|
Average Order Value Before
the Test |
Approx. €130 |
|
Core Customer Base |
Fashion shoppers, primarily 18 to 44 |
|
Audience Environment |
Prospecting, product-interest
audiences, existing customers and lower-funnel audiences |
|
Business Model |
Transactional eCommerce |
|
Overall Paid Media
Investment |
Approx. €2.5M per month |
|
Display & Video 360 Investment |
Approx. €1.3M per month |
|
Custom Bidding Before the
Initiative |
Not in use |
|
Initial Custom Bidding Test Scope |
Approx. €200K monthly media investment |
|
Scaled Custom Bidding
Scope |
Approx. €750K monthly media investment |
|
Initial Evaluation Period |
Approx. 6 to 8 weeks after training and stabilization |
|
Primary Business Objective |
Generate more sales revenue without a
corresponding increase in media investment |
|
Primary Business Metrics |
Sales revenue, orders, Average Order Value and Return on
Advertising Spend |
|
Supporting Diagnostics |
Add to basket, checkout progression,
conversion rate, device performance and customer mix |
|
Buying Platform |
Display & Video 360 |
|
Measurement |
Campaign Manager 360 and Floodlight |
Where the
Opportunity Came From
The existing
campaigns were converting.
But conversion
volume alone did not fully represent the retailer's economics.
Consider three
completed transactions:
Order A →
€65
Order B →
€180
Order C →
€410
All three
represented one purchase.
From a
conversion-count perspective:
1 = 1 = 1
From the
business perspective:
€65 ≠ €180 ≠
€410
There was also
useful information appearing before the final transaction.
A customer
viewing products was behaving differently from someone adding products to a
basket.
Someone
reaching checkout was demonstrating stronger commercial intent again.
The customer
journey broadly looked like:
Product
Engagement
→ Add to
Basket
→ Checkout
→ Purchase
→ Sales
Revenue
The opportunity
was to use meaningful information from that progression while keeping completed
transactions and actual revenue firmly anchored as the commercial outcome.
Why I Chose
Custom Bidding
A standard
conversion-focused bidding strategy can optimize effectively toward the
conversion objective it receives.
Value-based
bidding can go further and optimize toward conversion value.
My requirement
went beyond simply telling the platform:
Maximize
transaction value.
I wanted the
bidding logic to learn from multiple meaningful conversion outcomes across
the purchase journey, while still using completed transactions and actual
sales revenue as the strongest expression of business value.
That was where
Custom Bidding became relevant.
The strategy
could incorporate the retailer's own Floodlight conversion activities and sales
revenue into a custom definition of value.
The difference
was important.
I was not
simply changing the optimization target from:
Conversions
to:
Revenue
I was creating
a richer bidding objective around:
Meaningful
Customer Progression
Completed
Transactions
Actual
Transaction Value
The
Hypothesis
The working
hypothesis was:
If Display
& Video 360 could learn from meaningful conversion progression and
transaction value, it could identify impression opportunities with greater
expected commercial value and allocate the existing media investment more
effectively.
Conceptually:
Historical
Impression Data
Floodlight
Conversion Outcomes
Transaction
Revenue
↓
Custom
Bidding Model
↓
Predicted
Impression Value
↓
Auction-Level
Bid Decision
↓
Orders
↓
Sales
Revenue
That gave me a
clear hypothesis to test rather than simply introducing a new bidding feature
into the account.
My Role
I owned the
strategy from the business problem through to evaluation and scaling.
My involvement
covered:
Identifying
the limitation in the existing optimization approach
↓
Developing
the Custom Bidding hypothesis
↓
Selecting
the conversion and commercial signals that should inform the strategy
↓
Reviewing
the Floodlight and transaction-revenue measurement requirements
↓
Defining the
Custom Bidding logic
↓
Selecting
the initial campaign scope
↓
Structuring
the controlled comparison
↓
Monitoring
algorithm training and impression scoring
↓
Evaluating
the commercial results
↓
Scaling the
strategy across additional eligible Display & Video 360 activity
The important
part for me was keeping the project anchored to the commercial objective
throughout.
Getting the
Measurement Foundation Right
Before building
the algorithm, I reviewed the Floodlight setup supporting the relevant
eCommerce activity.
The core
signals were:
|
Customer
Action |
Role in
the Strategy |
|
Product
Engagement |
Supporting
indication of meaningful product interest |
|
Add to
Basket |
Stronger
indication of purchase intent |
|
Checkout |
High-intent
commercial progression |
|
Purchase |
Primary
completed commercial outcome |
|
Sales
Revenue |
Actual
monetary value of the transaction |
For completed
purchases, the Floodlight Sales activity captured transaction-level
information including revenue.
This mattered
because the retailer sold products across a wide price range.
A customer
might purchase:
€45
accessories
or
€140
footwear
or
€280 premium
fashion
or build a:
€500+
multi-product basket
A bidding
objective based only on transaction count loses that variation.
How I
Defined Value
I avoided
creating arbitrary monetary values for actions that did not directly generate
revenue.
I did not
decide that:
Product View
= €2
Add to
Basket = €10
Checkout =
€30
Those numbers
would create an artificial economics that did not exist in the retailer's
actual business.
Instead, I
separated the signals according to their role.
Supporting
Conversion Signals
Product
engagement
Add to
basket
Checkout
These helped
provide information about meaningful customer progression.
Primary
Conversion Signal
Purchase
This
represented the completed commercial outcome.
Commercial
Value Signal
Floodlight
Sales Revenue
This
represented what the transaction was actually worth.
The Custom
Bidding objective could then learn from those outcomes without pretending that
every behavioural event had a directly attributable euro value.
Why I Did
Not Use Every Available Signal
The retailer
had far more behavioural data available.
Homepage
visits.
Category views.
Product views.
Wishlist
interactions.
Session depth.
Time on site.
Basket
activity.
Checkout
activity.
Purchases.
Revenue.
Adding every
measurable event would have made the algorithm more complicated without
necessarily making it more commercially useful.
I concentrated
on signals with a credible relationship to purchase progression.
That kept the
strategy aligned around:
Intent
→ Transaction
→ Revenue
rather than
rewarding activity simply because it was measurable.
How Custom
Bidding Changed the Auction Decision
Custom Bidding
did not mean manually assigning different bids to different customer actions.
I was not
creating rules such as:
Basket user
→ bid €8
Checkout
user → bid €15
Previous
purchaser → bid €20
Instead, I
defined the outcomes that represented value to the retailer.
Display &
Video 360 used historical campaign data and machine learning to understand how
previous impression opportunities related to those outcomes.
The operating
logic was:
Historical
Eligible Impressions
Floodlight
Conversion Outcomes
Transaction
Revenue
↓
Model
Training
↓
Relationships
Between Impression Signals and Commercial Outcomes Learned
↓
New Eligible
Impression Opportunity
↓
Predicted
Impression Value
↓
Bid Decision
That moved the
retailer's own business information closer to the individual auction decision.
What That
Meant in Practice
Imagine two
eligible impression opportunities became available.
Historical data
associated characteristics surrounding Opportunity A predominantly with
relatively shallow customer behaviour and limited downstream commercial value.
Patterns
surrounding Opportunity B had historically been associated more strongly
with purchase progression, completed transactions and greater sales revenue.
The model could
therefore produce different predicted values for those opportunities.
Lower
Predicted Commercial Value
→ lower bidding
priority
Higher
Predicted Commercial Value
→ higher
bidding priority
Display &
Video 360 could then use those predicted values when determining the bid.
I did not need
to manually decide what an individual customer or impression was worth.
The model
learned from historical outcomes and applied those relationships across future
eligible impression opportunities.
Why Revenue
Changed the Quality of the Optimization
Consider two
customers who both purchased.
Customer A
1 order
€80
transaction value
Customer B
1 order
€350
transaction value
A
conversion-count objective records:
1 purchase
vs 1 purchase
The retailer
receives:
€80 vs €350
That
distinction becomes especially important at scale.
The business
was not simply trying to maximize the number of transactions.
It wanted to
maximize the commercial output of the available media investment.
Starting
With Approximately €200K, Not €750K
The wider paid
media operation was approximately:
€2.5M per
month
Approximately:
€1.3M per
month
was running
through Display & Video 360.
I did not
immediately move most of that investment onto an unproven Custom Bidding
strategy.
The initial
controlled scope represented approximately:
€200K in
monthly media investment
I selected
eligible campaigns where:
Floodlight
measurement was reliable
transaction
revenue was available
historical
conversion volume was sufficient
campaigns
represented meaningful commercial scale
the existing
bidding approach provided a useful comparison
The rest of the
Display & Video 360 operation continued under the existing bidding
approaches.
Creating a
Meaningful Comparison
The objective
of the initial test was specific:
Could Custom
Bidding produce greater commercial output from a broadly comparable level of
media investment?
I therefore
kept the major surrounding variables as stable as practically possible.
That included:
Audience
strategy
Inventory
approach
Creative
strategy
Frequency
controls
Conversion
configuration
Budget
levels
This was still
a live commercial environment, so perfect laboratory isolation was impossible.
But I wanted to
avoid a situation where audiences, creatives, inventory and bidding all changed
simultaneously and any revenue movement became impossible to interpret.
Accounting
for Fashion Seasonality
Fashion
eCommerce introduces another important variable:
Demand
changes.
Promotional
periods, seasonal collections, discounting, Black Friday, Christmas and
clearance activity can materially affect:
Conversion
rate
Orders
Average
Order Value
Revenue
and therefore:
Return on
Advertising Spend
I did not want
a promotional spike to be mistaken for a bidding improvement.
The comparison
therefore focused on periods with reasonably comparable trading conditions and
avoided using exceptional promotional events as the primary basis for judging
the Custom Bidding strategy.
Where
commercial conditions differed, I treated that difference as part of the
performance analysis rather than automatically attributing the movement to
bidding.
Training and
Validating the Algorithm
Before
expanding the strategy, I checked how the algorithm was scoring eligible
impressions.
I wanted to
understand:
whether
sufficient impressions could be scored
whether the
algorithm was generating meaningful positive scores
whether the
score distribution behaved sensibly
whether the
underlying conversion signals were being received correctly
The retailer's
scale was useful here.
The campaigns
already generated substantial impression and conversion volume, giving the
model enough historical information to learn from meaningful commercial
outcomes.
The progression
was:
Business
Hypothesis
→ Measurement
Validation
→ Custom
Bidding Configuration
→ Impression
Scoring Validation
→ Training
→
Controlled
Live Activation
The Initial
Evaluation Period
I did not judge
the strategy from the first few days.
The model
needed time to train, activate and stabilize before the commercial comparison
became meaningful.
The initial
evaluation therefore covered approximately:
6 to 8 weeks
following training and stabilization
During this
period I monitored both commercial outcomes and the diagnostic signals
underneath them.
What I
Watched
Business
Metrics
Sales
Revenue
Orders
Average
Order Value
Return on
Advertising Spend
These
determined whether the strategy was commercially successful.
Diagnostic
Signals
Product
engagement
Add-to-basket
activity
Checkout
progression
Conversion
rate
Spend and
delivery
Device
performance
Customer mix
These helped
explain why the business metrics were moving.
For example, if
add-to-basket activity increased substantially while purchases remained flat,
that would suggest the additional intermediate activity was not translating
into commercial value.
If orders
increased but Average Order Value deteriorated significantly, I would
investigate whether the strategy was generating more lower-value transactions.
New vs
Returning Customers
I also
monitored the customer mix.
This mattered
because an apparent improvement in Return on Advertising Spend could come from
concentrating more heavily on customers who were already highly likely to
purchase.
That might
produce attractive short-term reporting while contributing less incremental
customer acquisition.
I therefore
looked at the relationship between:
New
Customers
and
Returning
Customers
alongside the
primary commercial metrics.
The objective
was to understand whether the strategy was changing where the revenue came
from, rather than looking only at the headline revenue number.
Device
Performance
I also reviewed
performance across device environments.
Fashion
journeys frequently move between:
Mobile
Desktop
and other
touchpoints before purchase.
A strong
aggregate result can hide very different behaviour underneath it.
Breaking down
performance by device helped identify whether the improvement was broadly
distributed or being driven disproportionately by one environment.
Again, this was
diagnostic rather than the ultimate success measure.
The business
outcome remained sales revenue.
From Initial
Test to Scaled Deployment
Once the
initial Custom Bidding scope had accumulated enough data and demonstrated
stronger commercial performance, I expanded it across additional eligible
Display & Video 360 activity.
The progression
was approximately:
Existing
Automated Bidding
↓
~€200K
Initial Custom Bidding Scope
↓
Training +
Stabilization
↓
6 to 8 Week
Commercial Evaluation
↓
Performance
Validation
↓
Expansion
Across Additional Eligible Campaigns
↓
~€450K
Monthly Custom Bidding Scope
↓
Further
Commercial Validation
↓
~€750K
Monthly Custom Bidding Scope
The €750K
therefore represented the scaled state of the strategy, rather than the
starting point.
Custom Bidding
earned additional budget responsibility through performance.
Why I
Stopped at Approximately €750K
The retailer
had approximately €1.3M per month running through Display & Video
360.
Custom Bidding
ultimately covered approximately €750K.
I did not force
the remaining investment into the same bidding approach.
Different
campaigns served different objectives.
Different
inventory environments had different requirements.
Not every
campaign had the same conversion characteristics or data conditions.
And Custom
Bidding was not applicable to every type of Display & Video 360 inventory.
The final setup
therefore looked broadly like:
~€1.3M
Monthly Display & Video 360 Investment
↓
~€750K
Custom Bidding
~€550K Other
Appropriate Bidding Approaches / Campaign Requirements
The bidding
strategy followed the business and campaign requirement.
The
Commercial Outcome
After training,
stabilization and scaling across the eligible campaign scope, the commercial
performance improved materially against the comparable previous approach.
Revenue +32%
The Custom
Bidding scope generated substantially more sales revenue from broadly
comparable media investment.
Orders +21%
More completed
transactions were generated.
Average
Order Value +9%
The average
value of completed transactions increased.
Return on
Advertising Spend +31%
The retailer
generated materially more sales revenue for every advertising euro invested.
The Results
Together
|
Business
Metric |
Result |
|
Media
Investment |
Broadly
stable |
|
Orders |
+21% |
|
Average
Order Value |
+9% |
|
Sales
Revenue |
+32% |
|
Return on
Advertising Spend |
+31% |
The
relationship between the commercial metrics also made sense.
Orders +21%
combined with:
Average
Order Value +9%
produces
approximately:
Revenue +32%
Mathematically:
1.21 × 1.09
= 1.3189
or
approximately:
+31.9%
revenue growth
With media
investment remaining broadly stable, the revenue improvement translated into a
similar increase in Return on Advertising Spend.
Before and
After
Before
Existing
Automated Bidding
↓
Established
Conversion Objective
↓
Campaign
Optimization
↓
Orders
↓
Revenue
After
Meaningful
Floodlight Conversion Signals
Transaction
Revenue
↓
Custom
Bidding
↓
Machine-Learned
Impression Value
↓
Auction-Level
Bid Decisions
↓
More Orders
Higher
Average Order Value
↓
+32% Revenue
↓
+31% Return
on Advertising Spend
That was the
commercial reason for scaling the strategy.
What Made
the Difference
The outcome
came from connecting several pieces that already existed inside the retailer's
ecosystem:
Reliable
Floodlight measurement
Meaningful
purchase-progression signals
Accurate
transaction revenue
Sufficient
historical campaign data
A
commercially relevant Custom Bidding objective
Controlled
testing
Training and
stabilization
Commercial
evaluation
↓
Better-informed
auction-level decisions
The platform
provided the machine learning and bidding capability.
My job was to
determine what business problem we were solving, what signals deserved to
influence the algorithm, how the strategy should be tested and whether the
resulting performance justified scaling it.
The Business
Impact
The retailer
started with an established Display & Video 360 operation that was already
generating substantial sales.
Custom Bidding
was not being used.
I identified an
opportunity to make the retailer's own conversion and revenue information more
influential in auction-level decision-making.
The strategy
started with approximately:
€200K per
month
It was trained,
evaluated and compared against the existing approach.
Once the
commercial improvement became clear, I expanded it to approximately:
€450K per
month
After further
validation, it reached approximately:
€750K per
month
The scaled
commercial outcome was:
Broadly
Stable Media Investment
→ Orders
+21%
→ Average
Order Value +9%
→ Sales
Revenue +32%
→ Return on
Advertising Spend +31%
For me, that
was the real value of Custom Bidding in this case.
It allowed the
retailer's own definition of commercial value to influence individual
media-buying decisions at scale.
And once that
happened across hundreds of thousands of euros in monthly investment,
improvements at the auction level translated into a materially stronger
business outcome.

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